摘要
运用二次多项式回归方法,模拟分析出荆州市近54年来逐年平均气温呈整体上升趋势,气候变暖;揭示了荆州市在全球气候变暖的大背景下,近年极端天气气候事件频发,阶段性的低温冷害也时有发生的区域气候变化事实;提出了应对气候变化,保障荆州粮食安全的必要措施.
By using the quadratic polynomial regression curve fitting analysis, the annual average temperature of Jingzhou in recent 54 years had been increasing. The climate was getting warmer and wramer. It also revealed the fact that the frequency of extreme weather and climatic events in Jingzhou and the regional climate change of the short-term chilling damage oceured every now and then in the background of global warming. Some necessary measures were mentioned to deal with the climate change and ensure the food security in Jingzhou.
出处
《湖北农业科学》
北大核心
2008年第9期1092-1094,共3页
Hubei Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家科技支撑计划(2006BAD02A13)
关键词
气候变化
荆州市
粮食安全
应对措施
climate change
Jingzhou city
food security
countermeasure
