摘要
2008年5月,越南主要经济指标均超过了安全警戒线,金融市场急剧动荡。越南片面追求经济增长的经济政策导向难辞其咎:政府巨额的投资导致财政赤字;大规模的设备进口导致贸易赤字;过于迷信外资作用,金融开放过快;货币政策过于宽松;对资产价格泡沫危害认识不足;在出现通胀苗头时犹犹豫豫,错失最好的调控时机。越南金融动荡对中国的影响有限。借鉴越南教训,中国应严防通胀,防止境外热钱流入境内兴风作浪,对人民币升值采取谨慎态度,防止股市大起大落。
In May 2008, all the major economic indicators of Vietnam surpassed security line, and the financial market stuck in turbulence. The article concludes following causes： huge fiscal deficit due to government investment, trade deficit due to excess import, obsession with FDI, headlong financial openness, over-loosen monetary policy, and so on. China should draw lessons from Vietnam tragedy, and prepare for possible financial turbulence.
出处
《上海金融》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第9期60-63,共4页
Shanghai Finance
关键词
越南
金融动荡
通货膨胀
Vietnam
Financial Turbulence
Inflation
