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我国经济发展水平与劳动力就业数量关系研究——兼论我国劳动力资源是否过剩 被引量:7

On the Quantitative Relationship Between Economic Development Level and Labor Force Employment in China——The Issue of Labor Resources Surplus in China
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摘要 我国劳动力对经济发展而言,其生产率高于资本,因而经济发展对劳动力就业的促进作用逐渐减弱(经济增长的就业弹性逐渐变小)。据测算,我国2013年以前劳动力就业压力很大,2015年以后劳动力又会供不应求。所以,我国未来经济发展中,2014年前后应采用不同的产业结构调整策略来充分满足劳动力就业的要求。 In China, productivity of labor force is higher than that of capital, thus promotion of economic development to labor force employment has been weakening gradually (economic growth's employment elasticity has been reduced gradually). It is indicated that the labor force employment will be a lot of pressure before 2013, but after 2015, the labor force will be short of demand. Therefore, different strategies should be adopted to adjust industrial structure to fully meet the employment requirement before and after 2014.
出处 《改革与战略》 北大核心 2008年第9期26-28,共3页 Reformation & Strategy
基金 成都信息工程学院科研基金资助(项目编号:CRF200642)
关键词 就业弹性 年龄移算法 劳动力需求与供给 employment elasticity age moving algorithm supply & demand of labor force.
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