摘要
把传统的贸易引力模型扩展到了行业层面,建立了中国大陆水产品出口贸易引力模型方程。用大量数据对模型进行了检验,验证了引力模型的合理性,并运用该引力模型方程对中国大陆水产品出口几大市场容量进行了估测和分析,对中国大陆水产品出口的贸易流量和流向进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:中国大陆的渔业生产总值、水产品进口国家和地区的经济总量和APEC区域贸易制度安排都对中国大陆水产品出口贸易有显著的正面影响,而距离所代表的运输成本是阻碍水产品出口的最主要因素。
The traditional trade gravity model was extended to industry level to set up the trade gravity model of Chinese Mainland aquatic product export. A lot of data were used to test the rationality of the gravity model, This gravity model was used to estimate and analyze the capability of main aquatic product export markets in Chinese Mainland. The empirical study was made on the trade runoff and flow of Chinese Mainland aquatic product export. The research results showed that the total value of Chinese Mainland fishery production, the total economic amount of aquatic product import countries （areas） and the arrangement of APEC regional trade system all had the significant favorable effects on Chinese Mainland aquatic product export. And the transport cost represented by distance was the main factor for blocking the aquatic product export.
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
北大核心
2008年第22期9750-9752,9785,共4页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
关键词
水产品
引力模型
出口
Aquatic product
Gravity model
Export
