摘要
地震与太阳活动的关系是研究活动性和地震预测中有意义的课题。作者选取云南省及周边地区1965~2006年2级以上地震为样本,使用时间序列分析方法和相关分析方法对地震与太阳黑子、耀斑的相关性进行了研究,得到中小地震为主的样本与太阳活动不相关、大地震与太阳活动存在弱相关性的结论。作者的结论与以往研究者的结论不同,原因在于以往的研究者使用大震强震为样本,样本数少,得到的结论存在不可避免的偶然性。因此在一个地方具备发生大地震的内在条件时,关注太阳活动也是十分必要的。
The relationship between earthquake and solar activities was an important question for discussion. The author of this paper analyzed the relativity between sunspot and solar flare and earthquake, and concluded that the statistical relationship between solar activities and small earthquakes in that area didn't exist, strong earthquakes had puny relativity with solar activities. The sample for analyzing was from Yunnan Province, and the sample was consisted mainly by small earthquakes. The conclusion was different with past researches which used the sample only consisted by strong earthquakes. The puny relativity between strong earthquake and solar activity was a kind of chanciness, and this kind of chanciness could not be ignored.
出处
《云南地理环境研究》
2008年第4期27-32,共6页
Yunnan Geographic Environment Research
关键词
太阳活动
黑子
耀斑
地震
solar activity
sunspot
solar flare
earthquake