摘要
苏联解体至今,随着政治经济转轨的完成和双方国家利益与外交政策的磨合,俄罗斯与波罗的海三国走出了"文明离婚"的困境,步入了务实合作的道路,但是还没有建立起睦邻友好关系。俄罗斯对波罗的海三国政策缺乏连贯性和协调性,受到北约因素和欧盟因素的深刻影响,具有政治导向性。影响俄罗斯与波罗的海三国关系发展的不利因素包括讲俄语居民地位问题、三国的历史记忆和民族情感、三国的反俄政治势力;有利因素包括俄罗斯同欧洲长期合作的政策取向、三国与俄罗斯发展经贸合作的互利性。在未来相当长的时期内,俄罗斯与波罗的海三国难以建立真正的睦邻友好关系。
Along with the completion of political and economic transition following disintegration of the USSR and painful compliance of bilateral national interests and foreign policy,Russia and the three Baltic states cast off their predicament of 'civilized divorce' and embarked on the path of pragmatic cooperation,but they have not yet set up good neighborly relationship. Russian Baltic states policy lacks consistency and coordination. It falls under the deep impact of the NATO and EU factors,which play a political steering role. The unfavorable factors affecting Russian relations with these states include the status of Russian-speaking residents there,the historical memories and national sentiments as well as the anti-Russian political forces there. The favorable factors include Russia’s long-term cooperation policy orientation with the EU,and the mutual benefit between the three states and Russia in developing economic and trade cooperation. In a considerably long period to come,Russia could hardly become a good neighbor with the three Baltic States.
出处
《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第3期53-60,共8页
Russian,East European & Central Asian Studies