摘要
新经济增长理论将人力资本和科技进步视为经济增长的内生变量,而教育是人力资本积累和科技进步的主要途径。运用Johansen协整检验和Granger因果检验方法,结合样本区间1994-2003年的相关数据,实证分析了教育投入与我国经济增长的关系。经验性分析结果表明:尽管教育投入与经济增长有各自的变动规律,短期内可能不一致,但存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。教育投入确实对我国经济增长起到了强劲的推动作用,然而我国连续30年来的高度经济增长并没有使得教育投入得到相应的追加。
According to the new theory of economic growth, human capital and technological pro- gress are the endogenous variable of economic growth, while education is the main channel of accumulation in human capital. This paper tested the relationship between China's economic growth and investment in education from 1994 to 2003 with cointegration and granger test. The Cointegration test made it clear that from 1994 to 2003, there was a long stable equilibrium between economic growth and investment in education. Granger test indicated that only investment in education caused economic growth, while the rapid economic growth has not brought a corresponding increase in education investment.
关键词
人力资本
教育
经济增长
human capital
investment in education
economic growth