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自主创新能力与对外贸易:基于计量经济学的实证分析 被引量:9

Self-innovation and Foreign Trade:Experimental Analysis based on Econometrics
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摘要 本文采用现代计量方法,就自主创新能力与对外贸易关系进行了研究。主要结论是:我国自主创新能力与对外贸易间存在非常密切的关系。从反馈份额来看,自主创新能力对进口贸易存在显著的引导关系,而与出口贸易的反馈关系更多表现为显著的即时因果关系,没有明显的引导关系。由此得出的政策建议是要切实提高我国外贸工作水平,可走自主创新之路。 By using the modern quantitative analysis techniques, this paper examins the relationships between self-innovation ability and foreign trade. The main conclusions are.. There has remarkable causality between self-innovation ability and foreign trade. Viewed from the feedback share, self-inn0vation ability has the obvious casual relation to the import Trade, and there has remarkable instant causality between self-innovation ability and export trade, but has no obvious lead-lag relationship. Finally, policy advics are obtained and in order to improve the level of foreign trade program, we must take the way of self-innovation.
作者 黄永兴
出处 《统计教育》 2008年第6期43-47,共5页 Statistical education
关键词 自主创新 对外贸易 平稳性检验 因果关系检验 Self-innovation Foreign Trade Unit root test Causality test
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