摘要
文章依据消费函数理论和收集的相关数据建立了5个计量经济模型。对各个模型进行了经济检验、统计检验和计量经济检验,在检验合格的基础上结合理论和实际对模型展开分析,并进行对比选优,选出了传统模型中最优的模型-持久收入假说模型。最后利用该模型预测了2005～2010年陕西农村居民的生活消费支出,结合分析和预测的结果对相关政策进行了评价,并提出了相应的对策建议。
Based on the theory of consumption function and relevant data, we established five econometric models, After the economic tests, statistical tests and econometric tests, the qualified models were selected. Then we analyzed the models and selected the most suitable modle- permanent income hypothesis modle. Finally we used the model predicted the living expenses of Shaanxi rural residents from 2005-2010. some policy evaluation and recommendations are given at last.
出处
《乡镇经济》
北大核心
2008年第5期62-65,共4页
Rural Economy
基金
农业部软科学项目<城乡收入差距及地区之间农民收入差距变化趋势>支持(2005)
关键词
陕西农村居民
消费函数
持久收入假说
shaanxi rural residents
consumption function
permanent income hypothesis
