摘要
根据灰色理论方法对影响东海某海区大风建立了GM（1,1）模型,并利用海区8～10月观测资料进行了对比分析,研究发现,该模型物理概念清晰,对9～10月海区大风预测效果较好,对海区灾害性大风长期预报具有一定的指导意义。
GM（1,1） model was established in this paper to affect some sea area gale in the East China Sea according to the grey theory method ,compared with the observed data from August to October, this model, with clear conception, successes to forecast the gale date in the East China Sea between September to October. Obviously, it＇s very helpful utilizing this method to wind climate forecasting.
出处
《海洋技术》
2008年第1期92-95,共4页
Ocean Technology
关键词
大风日
灰色理论
气候预测
gale date
grey theory
GM （1,1） model
climate forecasting
