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Models-3/CMAQ模式对郑州市大气污染物的预报分析研究 被引量:26

Study on the Analysis of Air Pollution Forecasting by Models-3/CMAQ Model in Zhengzhou
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摘要 介绍了美国国家环保局第三代空气质量模式(Models-3)的主要组成部分:气象模式系统、排放模式系统以及公共多尺度模式系统(CMAQ)。并对郑州市SO2和NO2观测值与Models-3/CMAQ预报值进行对比分析,结果表明:模式可以模拟出郑州市SO2和NO2的同位相变化规律;预报值存在系统性偏低的现象;随着预报时效的延长,对SO2和NO2的预报效果逐渐变差。 The Models-3 of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is introduced and it contains: the meteorological modeling system, the emission modeling system and the CMAQ modeling system. By comparing and analyzing the observation data and data forecasted by the Models-3/CMAQ of SO2 and NO2 in Zhengzhou, the results indicate : The model can forecast the rule of SO2 and NO2 primely in Zhengzhou; The forecasting value is systemic lower than the observations; With forecasting time prolonging, the tendency of forecasting for SO2 and NO2 get worse subsequently.
出处 《气象与环境科学》 2007年第1期54-57,共4页 Meteorological and Environmental Sciences
基金 国家基础研究发展规划项目(G1999045700)
关键词 MODELS-3/CMAQ 空气质量模式 预报 观测 Models-3/CMAQ Air quality model Forecasting Observations
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参考文献7

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