摘要
本文构建了一个具有中国特色的总供给-总需求模型,并利用季度数据对此进行了估计和检验。研究表明,这种具有凯恩斯特点的宏观经济模型能在一定程度上解释中国经济的波动。与此同时,我们对模型的动态稳定性进行了一定程度的数理分析,从而揭示了两大宏观经济政策——财政政策和货币政策对稳定经济的作用。
This paper constructed an aggregate supply- aggregate demand model with characteristic of China＇s economy, then estimated and examined the model by quarter data. Studies have suggested, such macro economy model with Keynes＇ characteristic can explain the fluctuation of China＇s economy to a certain extent. Meanwhile, we carried on the mathematics analysis of a certain degree to the dynamic stability of the model, thus revealed two major macro economic policies - fiscal policy and monetary policy that have the function to stabilize the economy.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第5期3-11,共9页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
关键词
总供给
总需求
财政政策
货币政策
宏观模型
Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand
Fiscal Policy
Monetary Policy
Macroeconomy Model
