摘要
利用1957-2001年欧洲中期数值天气预报中心再分析资料及地面台站观测资料，分析了冬季东亚西风急流与我国气候的关系。首先定义了冬季东亚西风急流强度指数（区域30°～35°N，127．5°～155°E冬季200hPa纬向风u200平均值的标准化值）和切变指数（区域15°～25°N，100°～115°E与区域30°～40°N，100°～115°E的平均u200之差的标准化值），这两个指数能较好地反映冬季东亚西风急流的强度变化和位置的南北移动，二者相关系数为-0．48，通过99％信度检验。西风急流强度与亚洲和西太平洋大范围的大气环流有密切关系，而西风急流位置移动则与印度洋、中东太平洋的大气环流有密切关系，并分析了冬季急流强度指数和切变指数与我国温度和降水的关系。结果表明：当西风急流强度偏强时，西风急流位置偏北，此时在急流人口区左侧由于气流辐合造成低层气压上升，在出口区左侧则由于气流发生强烈辐散，引起低层气压下降，所以西伯利亚地区上空从对流层低层到中层高度值升高，北太平洋高度值降低，东西向气压差加大的形势，同时东亚大槽偏强，海陆气压差加大和东亚大槽偏强，导致冬季风强度偏强，引起我国从北到南的陆面降温，同时30°～40°N低层有下沉气流，使得华北、华中和长江中下游地区降水偏少；当西风急流强度偏弱时，西风急流位置偏南，整个东亚地区存在南风异常，东亚冬季风较弱，在25°N附近有上升气流，此时华南和内蒙古、华北降水偏多，内蒙古地表温度偏高。
The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis data sets and the observed data for precipitations and temperatures in China are used to depict the relationships between the eastern China climate and the East Asian jet stream （EAJS）. With an emphasis on the northern winter seasons and on the interannual timescales, the variations of the intensity and the meridional displacement of EAJS and their relationships with the precipitations and temperatures are analyzed, and the relative connections of the EAJS and the winter monsoon to the anomalies of atmospheric circulation in the eastern China region are assessed. The intensity index （normalized mean u200 averaged over 30°-35°N, 127.5°-155°E） and the shear index of EAJS （normalized u200 difference between two areas over 15°-25°N, 100°-115°E and 30°-40°N, 100°-115°E） are first defined, which can reasonably reflect the interannual variation of the intensity and meridional displacement of EAJS, then relative connections of intensity index and shear index with winter temperatures and precipitations in China for period 1957-2001 are investigated respectively. The correlation coefficient between the intensity index and the shear index is -0.48 （exceeding 99 % confidence limit）, which means that when EAJS intensifies the meridional displacement of EAJS is abnormally southward. It is found that the intensity of EAJS is associated with the extensive atmospheric circulation in Asia and west Pacific, while the meridional displacement of EAJS does strongly link to the atmospheric circulation in the tropical central-eastern Pacific and the Indian Ocean. The possible way of winter EAJS affecting the precipitation and temperature of China can be described as follows： At the left side of the entrance region of EAJS the pressure of low level atmosphere increases due to the convergent flows, meanwhile at the left side of exit region of EAJS the pressure of low level atmosphere decreases because of the divergent flows. So in the mid-lower
出处
《应用气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2007年第2期137-146,共10页
Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
基金
教育部优秀青年教师资助计划(EYTP-1964)
霍英东教育基金(81014)共同资助
关键词
东亚西风急流
强度指数
切变指数
冬季气候
East Asian jet stream
intensity index
shear index
winter climate
