摘要
本文概述了对象研究的不确定性类型、研究方法,着重描述了震害预测过程中存在的不确定性及其研究进展,目前应用于震害预测不确定性研究的主要方法,并对当前震害预测中存在的主要问题进行了初步总结与讨论。
In this paper, the types and research methods of uncertainty are introduced first, then the discussion is concentrated on the progress of studying of different types of uncertainty in seismic disaster and loss estimation. After reviewing the main methods applied in the study on the uncertainty, we summarized the problems currently existing in the estimation procession and proposed some preliminary solution methods.
出处
《震灾防御技术》
2007年第1期75-82,共8页
Technology for Earthquake Disaster Prevention
基金
国家自然科学基金"地震灾害评估中的不确定性研究"(编号:40474023)
关键词
灾害损失
预测
不确定性
Disaster and Loss
Prediction
Uncertainty
