摘要
中国未来能源需求及ＣＯ_２减排技术对策的数值模拟周玮生，柳泽幸雄ＮｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌＳｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆＦｕｔｕｒｅＥｎｅｒｇｙＤｅｍａｎｄａｎｄＴｅｃｈｎｉｃａｌＯｐｔｉｏｎｏｆＣＯ_２ＥｍｉｓｓｉｏｎＭｉｔｉｇａｔｉｏｎｉｎＣｈｉｎａ￥ＺｈｏｕＷ...
Abstract Long - term outlook of energy supply and demand, and amounts of CO2 emission were evaluated with a global energy model' New Earth 21' to seek couhtermeasures to reduce CO2concentration. Three cases named' Business as Usual (Ba U Case )',' Emission Regulation Case' and' Concentration Regulation Case,' were investigated from 2000 up to 2100. Major findings of this study were as follows:(1) In BaU Case, China could have to import coal because of rapid increase of energy consump non.(2) A ratio of amounts of CO2 emission to the world will in cases to 18 % in 2100from 11 % 1990 in BaU Case, although CO2 emission per capita will be still very small in China.(3 ) The most preferable option for CO2 reduction in China is' Energy Saving'.
出处
《世界环境》
1996年第4期38-41,共4页
World Environment
基金
日本新能源.产业技术综合开发机构(NEDO)的委托
资助
