摘要
东亚贸易自由化是全球区域贸易自由化的重要议题,但是,自从2002年中国与东盟、日本与新加坡达成自由贸易协定以来,东亚贸易自由化进展并不顺利。其原因在于东亚贸易自由化在整体呈现福利改进的同时,对主要参与国的部分产业产生了负面的影响,使得区域贸易自由化遭受了来自国内的较大阻力。作者根据全球贸易分析模型,分析了中国在东亚地区贸易自由化中的地位与应采取的战略。作者认为,中国在东亚贸易中的中心地位非常明显,而且有不断加强的趋势。中国要充分利用“市场中心”的优势,争取在东亚地区贸易自由化中占据主导地位。同时,为了减轻区域贸易自由化对中国制造业的负面影响,应当注重培养国内制造业的竞争力。
The Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in East Asia is regarded as an important step in global trade liberalization. However, after the agreement reached between China and ASEAN, Japan, and Singapore, the outcome appears to be limited. The author argues a possible reason for this is that the domestic industries of the member countries will be hurt by the FTA in East Asia, despite an improvement in general welfare. The author analyzes the position of China in the East Asian FTA and proposes a strategy based on the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). According to the results of a simulation, China will increasingly become the center of the trade liberalization process in East Asia. Therefore, the best option for China is to transfer the advantages of market accommodation into real bargaining power and to make the FTA favorable to China. In addition, China must improve the competitiveness of its domestic manufacturing industries to minimize the negative effects of the East Asian FTA.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第1期75-80,共6页
World Economics and Politics
