摘要
内外均衡的关系问题是国际金融学的重要内容之一,一般来说,内部均衡决定外部均衡,但外部非均衡也会反作用于内部均衡。实证分析表明,1985-2005年间,我国的经济增长、价格水平和国际收支之间没有必然的正相关或负相关,从当初的“供给约束型”经济到目前的“需求约束型”经济,内外均衡状况之间的作用力和反作用力的强度发生了较大的变化,而这种变化对于我国的外贸发展战略意味着更高的要求和挑战。
The question about the relation between internal and external equilibrium is an important content in international finance. In general, internal balance determines external balance, but external imbalance can also react on internal balance. Empirical analysis shows Chinese economic growth and price are not necessarily positive or negative correlated to international balance of payment from 1985 to 2005. From ＂supplies restraint＂ economy to ＂demand restraint＂ economy, the intensity of acting and reacting force has had great change, which poses a higher request for and a greater challenge to Chinese international trade developmental strategy.
关键词
内部均衡
外部均衡
相关性
实证分析
internal balance
external balance
correlation
empirical analysis
