摘要
中国要不要搞载人航天?怎么搞载人航天?采取何种发展战略和技术途径,涉及政治、经济、军事、社会和科技诸多方面。遵照钱学森院士创建的系统学提出的“定性与定量相结合的综合集成方法”,结合中国国情,以软科学命题,从指导思想、研究步骤和研究方法几方面进行了研究,研究结果表明,“面对世界载人航天的挑战和机遇,中国载人航天不可不搞,也不能大搞,飞船起步,平稳发展万无一失。盲自赶超或急于缩小差距均将陷入困境,疑虑过多以至坐视不顾,也会失掉机会和希望。”文章对该软科学命题做了总结。
Should China develop manned space program？ How to advance this program？ What are the strategies and technical approaches of the manned space program？ These are typical decision making issues in soft science area which involve a lot of factors including political, economic, military, social, scientific and technical factors. This paper introduces the research on these significant issues. The research was guided by the systematic methodology ＂meta-syntheses from qualitative hypotheses to quantitative validation＂ promoted by the famous scientist Qian Xuesen. The research tried to answer the question that as a developing country why China needs to develop manned space program. And further more, it put forward suggestions on the developing strategies and the technical approaches of Chinese manned space program, of which the main point was to use the spacecraft program.
出处
《中国工程科学》
2006年第12期10-15,共6页
Strategic Study of CAE
关键词
决策研究
综合集成
飞船工程
decision-making research
meta-syntheses
spacecraft program
