摘要
本文首先把GDP与M2的比值定义为货币流通速度,计算出1993～2005年我国货币流通速度,该数据表明我国货币流通速度有减慢的趋势,这反映了我国体制上的深层次问题。其次,用带有动量项和自适应学习率的BP神经网络预测出2006～2007年我国GDP和货币流通速度,从而推算出2006年至2007年我国广义货币供应量(M2)分别是324542.6亿元和341568.6亿元左右,这对我国数量型货币政策的制定具有一定的参考价值。
In this paper , the specific value of the GDP and m2 as the money flow speed is defined first, then the curve of the money flow speed of our country 1993 -2005 years is drawn that curve cnucleates our country money flow speed has already reduced slow trend, this reflected an our country a system problem. Secondly, the our country GDP and the money flow speed for 2006- 2007 yeats is predicted by BP algorithm with momentum term and self- correcting study rate, reckonning for 2006 - 2007 years the currency supply quantity（m2） of the our country, this has certain reference value to the quantity type the establishment of monetary policy of the our country.
出处
《特区经济》
北大核心
2006年第11期30-32,共3页
Special Zone Economy
