摘要
研究单个或多个理性主体在决策过程中的推理过程的决策逻辑,正越来越被逻辑学家、决策论专家、博弈论专家以及社会科学家所重视。决策逻辑是社会科学的基础,然而在决策逻辑中存在悖论:不确定的概然决策中的期望收益理论面临阿莱斯悖论和“交换悖论”;互动决策(博弈)中存在演绎性的逆向归纳法悖论,以及存在由纽柯姆难题改造而来的盖夫曼—孔斯悖论;群体决策中存在著名的阿罗悖论,等等。对这些悖论的研究和消解将推动社会科学的发展,当然也将推动逻辑学本身的发展。
Scholars in logic, decision-making, game theories, and social sciences are now paying more and more attention to decision-making logic. The base of social sciences, decision-making logic investigates how an agent-or agents-makes inference in decision-making process. However, there exist some paradoxes in decision making logic, such as the Allais paradox and exchange paradox in expected utility theory, backward induction paradox and Gaifmann-Koons paradox originated from Newcomb problem in interactions, the famous Arrow voting paradox in group decision-making. Studying and dissolving of these paradoxes will promote the development of decision-making logic as well as social sciences.
出处
《安徽大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第5期6-12,共7页
Journal of Anhui University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点基地重大项目(05JJD720.40002)
关键词
决策逻辑
社会科学
悖论
paradox
decision-making logic
social science
