摘要
根据1995～2005年湖北省外贸物流量序列的长期变化特征，提出了时间序列分解预测模型，即将年物流量序列分解为趋势项和随机项，通过对其各项进行识别、提取，再将各项线性叠加，从而建立年物流量预测模型；
This paper brought forward decomposing and forecasting model of time list, which based on foreign trade logistics quantity of Hubel province from 1995 to 2005. Time list of each year was decomposed to trend item and random item, then recognize, distill, do linear superposition to trend item and random item . At last building the forecasting model of foreign trade logistlcs quantity of Hubei province.
出处
《武汉理工大学学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第8期143-145,共3页
Journal of Wuhan University of Technology
关键词
时间序列
年物流量预测
湖北省外贸物流
time list
logistics quantity of year
foreign trade logistics of Hubei province
