摘要
本文运用协整方法和误差修正模型,根据我国1981-2004年的统计数据,考察了我国吸收的外国直接投资对不同贸易方式下的对外贸易产生的不同影响。结果表明:从长期看,外国直接投资与加工贸易进出口之间存在长期均衡关系,而与一般贸易进出口之间不存在长期均衡关系;从短期看,外国直接投资对加工贸易进出口都具有促进作用,而一般贸易进出口对外国直接投资的变动反应不敏感。
Based on the statistical data between 1981 and 2004, this paper establishes error correct model to analyze the effect of inward foreign direct investment on foreign trade under different trade modes in China. Studies shows that there is long-term equilibrium between FDI and processing trade, but there isn't long-term equilibrium between FDI and common trade. In the short run, FDI promotes both import and export of processing trade, but neither import nor export of common trade is sensitive to the change of FDI.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第4期10-14,共5页
Journal of International Trade