摘要
近两年来,随着技术进步和开发成本的降低,加拿大油砂油产量已突破100万桶/日。预计到2015年,油砂油产量将占加拿大原油总产量的75%以上,达到270万桶/日。为了跟上油砂的开发步伐,加拿大石油管道系统急需扩建或新建。对加拿大西部原油产量增长趋势和现有外输管道运力的对比分析显示,未来十年,配合加拿大西部油砂开发,总计需要新增大约60万桶/日的管道运力。在已公布的几条扩建和新建管道方案中,出口到美国的南线管道已先期开工,未来美国仍将是加拿大油砂油的主要出口市场。通向西海岸的扩建和新建管道,将是阿尔伯达省油砂油通往亚洲市场的重要通道,对于实现加拿大石油资源出口多元化具有重要的战略意义。
Due to technical improvements and decreasing development costs during the past two years, the Canadian oil sand product output has surpassed 1 million barrels per day. It is estimated that by 2015, oil sand product output will be above 75% of the total Canadian crude oil output, reaching 2.70 million barrels per day. In order to catch up with the oil sand exploitation, the expansion or new construction of the Canadian oil pipeline system becomes necessary. Comparative analysis of the western Canadian crude oil output trends and the current outbound pipeline capacity shows that additional pipeline capacity of about 600,000 barrels per day will be needed in the coming 10 years. Since the U.S. remains a major export market for Canadian oil sand oil, three lines leading to the US have been expanded and new construction has already begun. The western pipelines to be expanded and constructed, will be an important channel to transport oil sand oil to the Asian market. These pipelines will play a significant role in the diversification of the Canadian export of oil resources.
出处
《国际石油经济》
2006年第3期37-43,共7页
International Petroleum Economics
