摘要
期望效用理论是决策分析的理论基础,至今还没有一种理论能够取代它在管理决策中的地位。预期理论的出现,正有力地撼动着它的绝对地位,对传统的基于期望效用最大化的决策理论起着重要促进作用。然而,由于自身缺乏严格的逻辑推理,决定了它无法取代期望效用理论在规范化决策中的作用。
Expected utility theory is the decision analysis rationale, until now does not have one kind of theory to be able to substitute for it in the management decision-making status. The prospect theory appearance, powerfully is shaking its absolute status, is getting up the important promoter action to the traditional policy-making theory based on the expectation effectiveness maximization. However, because oneself lacks the strict logical inference, I think that it is unable to substitute for the expected utility theory in the standardized decision-making function.
出处
《科技和产业》
2006年第3期25-27,37,共4页
Science Technology and Industry
关键词
决策
不确定性
期望效用
预期理论
Decision
Uncertainty
Expected Utility
Prospect Theory
