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储蓄与储蓄缺口—对发展经济学教科书“储蓄缺口”判断标准的质疑

Savings and Savings Gap——the Doubt about Estimating Criterion of "Savings Gap" in Developing Economics Schoolbooks
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摘要 在标准的发展经济学教科书中,一般都将I-S缺口作为判断储蓄缺口是否存在的依据。本文从国民经济核算的角度对此提出疑义,认为此标准与较早对储蓄缺口问题进行系统研究的先行者罗森斯坦———罗丹的解释不符。按照对储蓄含义的剖析,在资本自由流动的今天,I-S缺口并不能完全反映一国真实的储蓄供求状况,而中国在此基础上所兼有的巨额存差和银行呆坏帐则表明,中国经济发展面临的约束条件已经由储蓄不足演变为储蓄过剩。 Most schoolbooks in developing economics reckon savings absence as tne common cnaracter istics of developing countries. Schoolbooks in developing economics take the I-S gap as the warrant to judge the existence of savings gap. This paper put forward some doubt about this opinion. The point of view is that it didn't conform with the Rosenstein-Rodan' s explication which had did systematic research early about this question. At present , the capital can flow freely. So According to the definition of savings, I-S gap can't reflect the real situation of savings supply. And the situation in China which have both large deposit balance and liquidity overplus indicates that the restriction which china faced had changed to savings overplus.
出处 《中央财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第2期32-37,共6页 Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics
关键词 储蓄 I—S缺口 储蓄缺口 Savings I-S gap Savings gap
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