摘要
到2010年天然气在世界能源结构中所占比例将上升到24％。世界天然气储量丰富,为未来的天然气生产的增长奠定了基础。未来天然气的应用领域主要是天然气发电、天然气化工和天然气汽车。我国天然气资源和生产潜力大,海上天然气开发的前景广阔。我国应加速勘探开发国内天然气资源,适度进口部分天然气和液化天然气,以改善我国能源结构和满足能源供应。
Demand for natural gas in the Asian-Pacific region (including Central Asia and the Russian Far East) over the next 15 years will increase more rapidly than demand for oil . Although the region possesses more gas than oil resources, gas development is still in the early stages. It is estimated that gas production in the Asian-Pacific region will increase at the rate of 5. 1% annually for the next 15 years. Gas production will outstrip oil production after 2000, with accelerating substitution of gas for oil. By 2010 gas will account for 60. 2% of total hydrocarbon production, up from 44. 6% in 1993. As expanding gas production produces steadily increasing surpluses, the replacement of oil by gas will fill some of the oil supply-demand gap, thus assuring a stable energy supply and reducing dependence on oil from outside the region. China should take advantage of its rich gas resources and speed up the pace of gas development, to fill the gap in oil supply and attain a balance between hydrocarbon supply and
demand. Moreover, China should take advantage of its favorable geography to promote gas development and utilization in the Asian-Pacific region.
出处
《国际石油经济》
1996年第4期5-9,共5页
International Petroleum Economics
