摘要
21世纪世界对能源的争夺将越来越激烈。各国为保障本国的经济稳定持续发展,都不遗余力地加入到对能源,特别是石油的争夺中来。本文通过对近四年世界石油价格的分析,利用马尔柯夫预测法,对未来油价的高低可能性进行预测,对马尔柯夫预测法的适用性进行总结。
In the 21st century, the competion for natural resources such as petroleum becomes fierce. Every country is doing its best to compete for the limited nature resources especially petroleum for the sake of their own development. Using Malcov law in this article the prices of petroleum in the last four years across the world is analyzed and future price changes are predicted. This article also summarizes the applicability of Malcov laws in differcnt fields.
出处
《价值工程》
2005年第12期105-107,共3页
Value Engineering
基金
河海大学211工程建设子项目应用经济学科建设研究成果之一(项目编号:211020806)
关键词
马尔柯夫法
石油价格
预测
malcov law petroleum price
prediction
