摘要
随着１９９７年的香港回归，香港与中国内地间的航线变成了一条国内航线。然而，在“一国两制”的国策下，这一特别的航运市场将发生怎样的变化？本文针对这一问题，通过对香港与内地间水上运输的影响因素的分析，并采用计量经济学模型，对１９９７—２０００年两地间的航运量变化进行了相关分析及预测，并对海峡两岸直航等因素对香港内地间的航运冲击进行了定量研究。
HongKong's shipping would become a part of China's shipping after 1997. However, upholding 'one country, tow system', the great changes will take place in shipping between HongKong and China's mainland. In this paper, the shipping development between HongKong anc China's mainland in 1997-2000 is forecasted with the econometric model and many statisical data. Finally, the change of the shipping under influence of the factors, such as direct navigation between Taiwan and mainland, is studied by the quantitative analysis methed.
出处
《中国航海》
CSCD
北大核心
1995年第1期31-40,共10页
Navigation of China
