摘要
应用天气学和统计学方法对１９９３年ＬＡＦＳ数值降水预报产品进行检验。结果表明：多数主要降水过程预报较好；全年降水１０ｍｍ级和２５ｍｍ级降水预报准确率高于５０ｍｍ级降水的准确率；南方降水预报水平比其它地区高，高原地区最差；降水预报范围过大是ＬＡＦＳ的一大弱点。
Synoptic and statistic methods are employed to verify the precipitation for ecasts for1993 from LAFS.The results show that the forecasts for most main precipitation eventsare successful;the accuracies of moderate and hpavy rain predictions are higher thanthose of torrential rain ones;the acciiracy of precipitation predictions for South China ishigher than that over the rest parts of China,unfortunately, and the lowest for Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. It is the defects in LAFS that the area of precipitation forecasts is toolarge.
出处
《应用气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
1995年第3期281-288,共8页
Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
关键词
年度评价
LAFS
降水预报产品
数值预报
Annual verification,LAFS precipitation forecasts
Synoptic and statistic methods.
