摘要
针对反水雷作战决策的需要,运用贝叶斯推理、模糊逻辑以及可信度不确定推理方法,设计了一个基于概率推断网的水雷战专家系统。利用该系统可得出两种结论:一是利用计算概率的方法得出的结论,二是利用计算可信因子方法得出的结论,两种结论呈现定量和定性的互补关系。可较好地为反水雷作战指挥员提供辅助决策,以减少舰船遭毁伤的概率。
In order to solve the problem of making decision during mine countermeasures, using Bayesian inference method, fuzzy logic and uncertainty reasoning method based on confidence, the article designs a probabilistic inference network as an expert system for mine warfare. Two kinds of conclusions can be obtained from this system. One is probability, the other is certainty factor. Their relationships are interdependent of quantitative and qualitative, which can be used to offer auxiliary suggestions to the commander of anti-mine operation for reducing the ship’s vulnerability at sea .
出处
《情报指挥控制系统与仿真技术》
2005年第2期52-56,共5页
Information Command Control System and Simulation Technology
关键词
概率推断网
不确定推理
贝叶斯推理
水雷战
专家系统
probabilistic inference network
uncertainty reasoning
Bayesian inference
mine warfare
expert system
