摘要
高速铁路以良好的服务特性来满足旅客的运输需求,为旅客提供了一种新型的陆上运输选择。本文从客流量的产生机理入手讨论高速铁路客流量预测,系统地分析了客流量的构成及影响因素,并运用转移和诱发客流量模型进行预测,结合沪宁段高速铁路的资料,说明模型的有效性。
High-speed railway develops rapidly for its gook service. The paper discusses causes of passenger-flow producing and its structure with system analysis method, presents the passenger-flow division .and inducement mpdels. The passenger-flow of Shanghai-Nanjing hish-speed railway has been predicted.
出处
《系统工程》
CSCD
1994年第5期68-72,共5页
Systems Engineering
关键词
高速铁路
客流量
预测
High-speed railway, passenger predicting, division and inducement models, transportion corridor