摘要
在进行水库群长期优化运行的决策分析中,讨论了一种更适合于水资源系统优化运行决策规则制作的时间序列模型,即混合回归疏系数模型.该模型能充分反映水库群最优运行的规律,在一定程度上克服了逐步回归法和多变量自回归模型的缺陷,有着求解灵活、操作方便的特点.
The multi - variable and mixed - regressive time seriesanalysis model is applied to studying the optimal decision making of the multi-objective reservoirs. This model is more suitable in the optimal operation ofwater resources system, which overcomes the defects of the progtessiveregressive method or the multi - variable and auto - regressive model. Theoptimal opetation rules of the reservoirs are given by a case study.
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
1994年第4期230-236,共7页
Water Resources and Power
关键词
水库群
优化运行
混合回归模型
时间序列
reservoirs, operation, time series analysis, mixed regression