摘要
本文在较一般化的概率模型基础上建立了单发命中概率的一些统计模型,并据以分析了单发命中概率估值(?)的统计误差,给出了rms(?)的定量关系式和计算结果,指出了解决导弹单发命中概率小子样问题的途径和方法,为其决策提供了理论依据。文中所给有关统计模型应用于武器系统精度仿真试验时,还能大大提高该项试验的速度和精度。
In this paper, the statistical models of missile hit probability are set up on the basis of relatively generalized probability model. According to these models, the statistical error on estimator P of the missile hit probability is analyzed, the quantitative relation of rms(P) and its results are presented, and the approach and method to solve the small sample problem of missile hit probability are pointed out. These can be used as the theoretical fundamentals for determining this problem. With these models applied in accuracy simulation test of weapon system, the test speed and accuracy could be improved greatly.
出处
《系统工程与电子技术》
EI
CSCD
1993年第3期27-44,共18页
Systems Engineering and Electronics
关键词
面对空导弹
命中概率
命中点
模型
Surface-to-air missile, Killing zone, Probability point,Hit probability,iSmall sample,Statistical model, Statistical accuracy.
