摘要
首先回顾了不确定性分析中常用的专家意见综合方法。然后在此基础上,提出了一新的简便易行的综合方法,并利用实例计算比较了三种综合方法的结果差异。所提出的方法在地震危险性不确定性分析专家意见的合理综合中具有较为实用的价值。
This Paper, first, reviews the comprehensive methods of experts'opinions often used in analysis of uncertainty. Then based on this, a new simple and convenient comprehensive method is proposed and the result differdnces of three kinds of comprehensive methods are compared by example calculations. The proposed method has a practical value in rational comprehension of esperts'opinions in analysis of seismic risk uncertainty.
出处
《华北地震科学》
北大核心
1993年第3期1-8,共8页
North China Earthquake Sciences
关键词
地震
危险性
不确定性
Seismic risk analysis
uncertainty
comprehension of experts'opinions
