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复杂经济系统的预测问题及综合集成法的应用 被引量:1

Forecast of the Complex Economic System and the Application of Meta-synthesis
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摘要 针对复杂经济系统的预测问题,分析了影响复杂经济系统预测结果及应用效果的原因。对综合集成法的思想在经济预测中的应用进行了探讨,提出了具体应采取的对策。 The paper analyses, in the light of the problems facing the forecast of the complex economic system, the various elements that affect the result of such forecast, discusses the application of meta-synthesis therein, and proposes concrete measures for its implementation.
作者 李运蒙
出处 《兰州大学学报(社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2004年第5期131-133,共3页 Journal of Lanzhou University(Social Sciences)
关键词 复杂系统 经济预测 决策 风险 complex system economic forefast decision-making venture
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