摘要
介绍工业需水量预测的主要方法,综合分析工业需水量预测中的风险因素。在此基础上,运用德尔菲法等风险估计方法对张家港市未来工业需水量进行预测,并通过风险决策选出最优方案。
This paper introduces the main method to predict industrial water requirement, to analyse totally risk factors in prediction of industrial water requirement. On this basis, the risk assessment methods, such as the Delphi law, are used to predict the industrial water requirement in the future in Zhangjiagang, and the optimum scheme in terms of the risk decision-making is determined.
出处
《水利经济》
2004年第5期45-47,共3页
Journal of Economics of Water Resources
关键词
风险分析
工业需水量
德尔菲法
风险度
risk analysis
industrial water requirement
Delphi method
risk degree
