摘要
目的 研究亚洲太平洋若干地区恶性肿瘤造成的疾病负担及其流行趋势。方法 采用世界标化人口计算恶性肿瘤年发病率和死亡率,提出重点防治的癌症。在估计人口增长和人口老化的基础上,预测今后50年恶性肿瘤流行趋势。结果 亚太若干地区2000年恶性肿瘤新发病例300多万,死亡200多万。现患病例540万。最常发生的是胃癌(占16.4％).肺癌(占15.8％)和肝癌(占13.6％)。预计2050年恶性肿瘤发病和死亡例数将是2000年的2倍以上,新发病例和死亡病例将分别达到780万和570万。结论 随着人口增长和平均期望寿命增加,恶性肿瘤造成的疾病负担将明显加重。
Objective To study the current burden of cancer and future cancer trends in Asian Pacific rim region. Methods Incidence and mortality data were age-standardized to the world stand population. The major cancers were presented. The prediction for cancer trend over the next fifty years was based on population growth and aging. Results Over 3 million new cases, over 2 million deaths. and 5. 4 million people living with cancer occurred in Asian Pacific rim region in 2000. The most common incident cancers are stomach (16. 4%) , lung (15. 8%) and liver (13. 6%). The number of new cases and deaths from all cancers is expected to more than double from 2000 to 2050. In 2050, 7. 8million new cancer cases and 5. 7million deaths from cancer are anticipated. Conclusion The burden of cancer will greatly increase in the decades to come with the aging of the population.
出处
《肿瘤》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2004年第5期422-426,共5页
Tumor
基金
全国优秀博士学位论文作者专项资金(200157)
