摘要
本文中的综合预测是从两个层次上对崩塌落石进行空间预测。首先，在大量调查统计资料的基础上，对崩塌落石进行宏观的区段预测，用以确定崩塌落石的危险区段。然后，从微观上对每个崩塌落石工点的稳定度进行详细评判，用以确定危险的崩塌落石工点。为铁路工务部门确定重点巡查看守地段、决定重点投资工点提供依据。本成果应用两年多，效果良好。
in this paper synthectical prediction was conducted for space prediction on fall and rockfall of two administrative levels. On the basis of investigative and statistic data,this paper first presents macroscopical regional prediction of land fall and rock fall by statisticsmethod of information quantity,then predicts microscopical stability grade to find sites oflandfall and rockfall by the synthesis judgement method of fuzzy. The results coincide withthe actual condition of land falls and rock falls fairly well showing the feasibility of themethod.
出处
《铁道工程学报》
EI
1996年第2期182-190,共9页
Journal of Railway Engineering Society
关键词
崩塌落石
综合预测
信息量统计预测
稳定度评判
Landfall and rockfall,synthetical prediction,Statistical prediction of ioformationquantity, Stability judgement
