摘要
在全球经济一体化的背景下,实现国内外均衡发展是经济健康运行的重要目标,扩大进口是目前中国改变进出口失衡、促进经济增长的一个关键。因此,从影响进口需求的因素出发,建立动态面板回归模型,应用中国省域1987—2009年的数据进行实证检验,研究结果发现:进口贸易具有内生性,不同省域、不同时期经济变量对进口的影响存在差异,FDI、储蓄、固定资产投资、出口等因素对进口具有正向影响,GDP与进口贸易呈负相关关系。
The internal-external development equilibrium is one of the goals that many countries pursue in the context of economic integration.And import trade has always been the key in achieving that goal.In the view of import trade demand from economic development,a theoretical framework and dynamic panel data model is set to analyze the factors affecting the import trade.This paper empirically studies the data from 1987 to 2009.The results show that GDP does not affect the import trade significantly,but some other variables do.There exist differences not only in different provinces but also in different periods.Finally,a series of suggestions are offered to keep a balanced economic growth.
出处
《审计与经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第3期106-112,共7页
Journal of Audit & Economics
基金
江苏省哲社基金的阶段性成果(09EYC015)
关键词
进口贸易
出口贸易
出口导向型经济
国际贸易
贸易顺差
import trade
export trade
export-oriented economy
international trade
favorable balance
