摘要
以河南省农业机械化系统为研究对象,运用系统动力学原理,在分析农业机械化系统相关因素的基础上,建立了农业机械化系统动力学模型,并进行了系统仿真。从模拟结果来看,随着社会进步和河南省经济的发展,农村劳动力逐渐转移,农村劳动力数量呈下降趋势,农村耕地总面积呈微弱的下降态势,土地经营规模上呈上升趋势。随着土地经营规模的扩大,农民人均纯收入随之增长,河南省整体农业资金总投入量呈指数上升趋势,农业机械总动力及农业机械化作业水平也将逐步提高。
On the studying of the agricultural mechanization system in Henan Province,using the theory of systems dynamics,the systems dynamics model of agricultural mechanization is constructed base on the analysis of facts about the agricultural mechanization system,then,the simulation is done,and with the result of simulation we can get some conclusion.With the development of social progress and economy in Henan Province,the quantity of rural labor force have the trend of declining with the labor shifts gradually in rural,simultaneously,the total farming is declining weakly,the management scale of the land is upping.With the enlarge of the management scale of the land,the average income of farmer is increasing,the total investment of agriculture in Henan Province is upping rapidly,the gross powers of agricultural machinery and agriculture mechanization development level are enhanced gradually.
出处
《农机化研究》
北大核心
2012年第1期55-59,共5页
Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research
基金
河南省科技攻关计划重点项目(102102210191)
关键词
农业机械化
系统动力学
系统仿真
河南省
agricultural mechanization
system dynamics
system simulation
Henan Province
