摘要
本文系统地回顾了三代货币危机模型的假设条件和基本原理,并就历代货币危机模型的理论逻辑进行了系统分析。每一代模型都在其局部范围内解释了危机爆发的原因,在理论的形成和实践的指导方面具有现实意义。但三代模型所研究的导致危机爆发的原因都仅仅是对危机现象的表面描述,没有追寻危机原因背后的根源——资本主义制度本身。因此,西方学者只能就每次危机作出现象的解释,很难建立一套能全面预防、治理和预测各种货币危机的理论体系,因为要达到此目的,必须对资本主义制度本身进行全面考察。
This paper systematically reviewed the hypothetical condition and basic principles of three generations of currency crisis model.It,simultaneously,explained theoretical logic of ancient crisis model.Each generation of models explained the reasons for the crisis within the limited scope,and it has a certain practical significance in theory formation and practice guidance.The reasons of three generations of the model,however,researched the crisis is only the description of appearance of the crisis.they neglected reasons behind the crisis— the capitalist system itself.Thus,the western scholars only explained the phenomenon of crisis,and it is difficult for them to establish a framework for comprehensive prevention,treatment and prediction of the theoretical system of the various currency crises.To achieve this purpose,it is necessary to study the capitalist system.
出处
《财会通讯（下）》
2011年第12期144-148,161,共6页
Communication of Finance and Accounting
关键词
货币危机模型
演化路径
理论逻辑
现实困境
Currency crisis model Evolutionary path Theoretical logic Practical difficulties
