摘要
舰载软杀伤仿真系统中,不可避免地存在不确定性因素,分析仿真系统的不确定性是利用仿真系统进行效能评估的关键。研究了BMA方法在模型不确定性定量分析中的理论知识,介绍了软杀伤仿真中反舰导弹捕捉目标的数学模型,并把BMA方法应用到舰载软杀伤仿真系统。通过仿真结果比较,BMA方法的估值精度高,算法简单,计算速度快,BMA方法是分析模型不确定性的有效方法。
It is unavoidable that uncertainties exist in the soft-kill simulation system.Analysis of uncertainties is the central element of effectiveness evaluation using simulation system.Thus,theoretic knowledge and simulation analysis of BMA approach is studied in quantificational analysis of model uncertainty,and the math model of antiship missile capturing object in the soft-kill simulation is introduced.The results of simulation prove that the value of BMA approach is the best propinquity to the real,and,BMA ap...
出处
《现代防御技术》
北大核心
2008年第6期155-159,164,共6页
Modern Defence Technology
