摘要
民生性支出不足一直是我国财政支出结构中的突出问题。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,地方政府面临更大财政压力,民生性支出不足的问题更加严峻。互联网技术在人们学习、工作和生活中的重要作用日益凸显,本文从互联网普及的视角切入,为优化财政支出结构提供新的思路。本文利用2003—2018年省级面板数据,构建线性固定效应模型和非线性的面板门槛模型,实证分析发现互联网普及对民生性支出占比的提高具有显著促进作用,但呈边际递减趋势。通过工具变量法、更换度量指标、考虑政策冲击等方式进行稳健性和内生性检验,以上结果保持稳健。异质性分析发现,互联网普及对民生性支出占比的影响在东部地区更为显著,但中部地区具有后发优势,作用效果更强,而西部地区则不够明显。机制分析发现,提高受教育程度和抑制腐败是重要传导机制,而财政透明度的中介效应并未显现。本文丰富和拓展了互联网普及对地方政府民生性支出的影响、作用机制和异质性的研究,也对推动"互联网+"融合发展及优化财政支出结构具有重要借鉴意义。
Based on provincial panel data from 2003-2018,this paper analyzes the influence of internet penetration on local government welfare expenditure.We find that the increase of internet penetration has significant positive influence on the ratio of fiscal medical spending to total fiscal expenditure,but the effect demonstrates marginal decrease.The results are robust even if IV and policy shock are considered.Further analysis shows that improving the level of education and curbing corruption are important mechanisms.However,the mediating effect of fiscal transparency doesn’t appear under the condition of insufficient development in China.This paper not only expands the research on influence,mechanism and heterogeneity of internet popularization on livelihood expenditure of local governments,but also has great significance for promoting the fusion development of"Internet+"and optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditure.
作者
魏福成
朱东霞
Wei Fucheng;Zhu Dongxia
出处
《财政研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第5期116-129,共14页
Public Finance Research
关键词
互联网普及
医疗卫生支出占比
教育程度
财政透明度
Internet Penetration
Ratio of Fiscal Medical Spending to Total Fiscal Expenditure
Level of Education
Fiscal Transparency
