摘要
通过整理2017年~2018年海南省限购政策措施,利用断点回归模型主要研究海口、三亚两个城市新建商品住宅和二手住宅90平米及以下、90~144平米、144平米以上不同的建筑面积下在2018年4月全岛限购前后房价的变化。对估计结果进行稳健性检验,检验不同核函数的断点回归结果、协变量在断点处是否连续等,得出结论:自限购令实施以来,抑制了房地产价格过快上涨,但市场成交价整体稳中有升。
Through collating the policies and measures of limiting purchase in Hainan from 2017 to 2018,this paper uses the breakpoint regression model to study the changes of house price before and after the purchase restriction in the whole island in April 2018 in the cities of Haikou and Sanya,where the house price is 90 square meters or less,90~144 square meters or more than 144 square meters and the house price is 90 square meters or less,90~144 square meters or more.Then,carries out a robust test to verify the breakpoint regression results of different kernel functions and whether the covariates are continuous at the breakpoint.Finally,concludes that the excessive rise of real estate prices has been restrained since the implementation of purchase restriction orders,however,the overall stability of market prices rose,a large decline in market turnover.
作者
陈园园
胡发新
张文军
邸胜宝
CHEN Yuanyuan;HU Faxin;ZHANG Wenjun;DI Shengbao(School of Intelligent Automobile and Engineering,Sanya Polytechnic,Sanya 572000,China;Hainan United Zhenhua Land Real Estate Appraisal Consulting Co.,Ltd,Sanya 570100,China;Sanya Real Estate Trading Center,Sanya 572000,China;Hainan Tianneng Electric Power Co.,Ltd,Sanya 570100,China)
出处
《建筑经济》
北大核心
2021年第S01期330-335,共6页
Construction Economy
基金
2019年度三亚市社科联一般项目“基于自贸区建设背景下限购政策对于三亚市二手房市场的影响”(SYSK2019-25)
关键词
断点回归
限购
房地产价格
房地产交易量
breakpoint regression
purchase restriction
real estate price
real estate transaction volume
