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未来五年世界炼油行业展望

World refining industry outlook in the next five years
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摘要 未来5年,世界炼油能力将继续快速增长,新增产能主要来自亚太和中东。全球炼厂产能利用率总体将下降,炼油业将面临产能扩张、原油供应形势变化、产品需求转变和油品规格更加严格等多重挑战。页岩油的加工量将持续增加,地区油品需求结构性矛盾将影响炼厂原料选择。油品贸易加快发展,炼油业竞争加剧。中东和亚太地区原油制化学品项目取得重要进展。此外,智能化技术将推升炼厂转型升级。 In the next five years,world refining capacity will keep on growth,new refining capacity mainly come from Asia Pacific and Middle East.Refinery capacity utilization rates will decline in a whole.World refining industry will face the challenge from capacity expansion,crude oil supply structure pattern change,refined product demand change and increasingly tougher on oil products specification.The throughput of shale oil will keep up a steady increase.The structural imbalances of region oil demand will affect the choice of feedstock.World oil trade will keep rapid development,refiners face fierce competition from different regions.Projects of crude oil to chemicals in Asia Pacific and Middle East make important progress.Moreover,intelligent technology will promote the transition and upgrade of refineries.
作者 徐海丰 XU Haifeng(CNPC Economics&Technology Research Institute,Beijing 100724,China)
出处 《世界石油工业》 2019年第2期20-28,共9页 World Petroleum Industry
关键词 炼油 能力 利用率 油品需求 油品贸易 化学品 智能炼厂 refining capacity utilization rates oil demand oil trade chemicals intelligent refinery
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