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不完全信息环境下的情报分析方法——情景分析法及其在情报研究中的应用 被引量:27

A Method for Information Analyses under Incomplete Information Environment——Scenarios Analysis and Its Application in Information Research
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摘要 分析不完全信息环境对情报研究的影响以及现有的情报分析方法在新环境下的局限性,介绍情景分析法研究的意义,通过文献计量法揭示国内外对情景分析法的研究现状,总结国外情景分析法的主要应用领域,提出图书情报学界对情景分析法的研究重点以及研究展望。 This paper analyzes the effect of incomplete environment on information research and the limitation of present information analysis methods, and then it introduces the importance of the scenarios analysis. Afterward, the paper reveals the current situation of this analysis method at home and abroad by bibliometrics and presents their main areas of the application fields. Eventually, the authors show the application perspectives of the scenarios analysis in the library and information sciences.
作者 孙建军 柯青
出处 《图书情报工作》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第2期63-66,120,共5页 Library and Information Service
基金 2004年国家社会科学基金重大项目"建立和完善哲学社会科学评价体系研究"(项目编号:04&ZD031)的研究成果之一
关键词 情景分析法 不完全信息 情报研究 应用 scenarios analysis incomplete information information research application
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参考文献19

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二级参考文献4

  • 1Ascher, W. Forecasting: An Appraisal for Policy- makers and Planners. Baltimore,MD:Johns Hopkins University Press,1978. 被引量:1
  • 2Craig S. Fleisher, Babette E. Bensoussan. Strategic and Competitive Analysis.Prentice Hall,2003. 被引量:1
  • 3Peter Schwartz. The Art of the Long View. Currency and Doubleday, 1991. 被引量:1
  • 4Grayson L. E. ,Calawson J. G. Scenario Building. Charlottesville, VA: University of Virginia Darden School Foundation,1996. 被引量:1

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