摘要
共同富裕是社会主义的本质特征,实现共同富裕是当前改革与奋斗的重要任务。基于以人为核心的理念,把握共同富裕最本质、最核心的内涵与维度,构建以收入水平为核心的共同富裕测度指标体系。借鉴IHDI的构造方法,测度了2013年到2020年我国279个地级及以上城市的共同富裕水平,使用收敛模型、莫兰指数、马尔科夫链以及LMDI分解对共同富裕及其各维度空间特征与时空演变进行分析。研究发现:(1)共同富裕及其各维度在时期内均存在上升趋势,共同增长速率低于富裕水平,共同水平取得实质提升落后于富裕水平;(2)共同富裕呈现以东部沿海为中心向西部地区辐射递减的阶梯状空间分布格局,富裕水平与之类似,共同水平则以长三角、珠三角以及哈尔滨部分地区3个中心向外辐射递减,共同富裕及其各维度均存在显著空间正自相关;(3)研究期间内,共同富裕及其各维度存在较大的地区差异,其中富裕水平差异最大,但均存在显著的收敛特征,呈“越低越快”的追赶态势,共同水平的收敛速度更快,在打响脱贫攻坚战后收敛显著提速;(4)共同富裕层次流动存在两端稳定、中间活跃的特征,但中等城市向上流动过程中降级风险有所提高;(5)共同富裕各维度贡献逐年提高,富裕水平贡献最大,而共同水平在精准扶贫和脱贫攻坚关键年份贡献率存在显著提高。
Common Prosperity is the essential feature of socialism,and achieving Common Prosperity is the ultimate goal of current reform.Based on the concept of taking people as the core,grasping the most essential core connotation and dimension of Common Prosperity,this paper tries to build a index system for measuring Common Prosperity with income as the core.Drawing on IHDI’s construction method,this paper measures 279 cities’Common Prosperity level from 2013 to 2020 in China,and analyzes Common Prosperity and its dimensions’spatial characteristics and spatio-temporal evolution by using convergence model,Moran’s I,Markov chain and LMDI decomposition method.The research found that:①During the study period,Common Prosperity and its dimensions have an promotion tendency,the Common level’s growth rate is lower than the level of Prosperity.The difficulty of achieving a substantial breakthrough in the common level lags behind the level of prosperity;②Common Prosperity presents a radiate ladder like spatial distribution pattern from the eastern coastal area to the western area.The level of prosperity is similar to that of the eastern coastal area.The common level is radiating from the three centers of the Yangtze River Delta,the Pearl River Delta and some parts of Harbin to their around regions.The common prosperity and its dimensions have significant positive spatial autocorrelation;③During the study period,there were large regional differences in common prosperity and its dimensions,among which the difference in Prosperity level was the largest.There were significant convergence characteristics,showing a"the lower,the faster"catch-up trend.The convergence speed of the Common level was the fastest,and the convergence speed was significantly improved after the implementation of Poverty Alleviation;④Based on Markov chain analysis,the mobility of Common Prosperity has the characteristics of stable at both ends and active in the middle.The risk of degradation is increased in the upward mobility process of the ci
作者
彭刚
杨德林
朱莉
PENG Gang;YANG Delin;ZHU Li(School of Statistics,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics,Chengdu 611130,China;School of Big Data and Statistics,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guizhou 550025,China)
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第S01期289-303,共15页
China Soft Science
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“低碳约束下高等教育资源配置与青年就业”(72274018)
关键词
共同富裕
收入水平
收入分配
时空演变
贡献分解
Common Prosperity
income level
income distribution
spatio-temporal evolution
contribution decomposition
