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Short-term train arrival delay prediction:a data-driven approach
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作者 Qingyun Fu Shuxin Ding +3 位作者 Tao Zhang Rongsheng Wang Ping Hu Cunlai Pu 《Railway Sciences》 2024年第4期514-529,共16页
Purpose-To optimize train operations,dispatchers currently rely on experience for quick adjustments when delays occur.However,delay predictions often involve imprecise shifts based on known delay times.Real-time and a... Purpose-To optimize train operations,dispatchers currently rely on experience for quick adjustments when delays occur.However,delay predictions often involve imprecise shifts based on known delay times.Real-time and accurate train delay predictions,facilitated by data-driven neural network models,can significantly reduce dispatcher stress and improve adjustment plans.Leveraging current train operation data,these models enable swift and precise predictions,addressing challenges posed by train delays in high-speed rail networks during unforeseen events.Design/methodology/approach-This paper proposes CBLA-net,a neural network architecture for predicting late arrival times.It combines CNN,Bi-LSTM,and attention mechanisms to extract features,handle time series data,and enhance information utilization.Trained on operational data from the Beijing-Tianjin line,it predicts the late arrival time of a target train at the next station using multidimensional input data from the target and preceding trains.Findings-This study evaluates our model’s predictive performance using two data approaches:one considering full data and another focusing only on late arrivals.Results show precise and rapid predictions.Training with full data achieves aMAEof approximately 0.54 minutes and a RMSEof 0.65 minutes,surpassing the model trained solely on delay data(MAE:is about 1.02 min,RMSE:is about 1.52 min).Despite superior overall performance with full data,the model excels at predicting delays exceeding 15 minutes when trained exclusively on late arrivals.For enhanced adaptability to real-world train operations,training with full data is recommended.Originality/value-This paper introduces a novel neural network model,CBLA-net,for predicting train delay times.It innovatively compares and analyzes the model’s performance using both full data and delay data formats.Additionally,the evaluation of the network’s predictive capabilities considers different scenarios,providing a comprehensive demonstration of the model’s predictive performan 展开更多
关键词 Train delay prediction Intelligent dispatching command Deep learning Convolutional neural network Long short-term memory Attention mechanism
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Risk assessment of high-speed railway CTC system based on improved game theory and cloud model
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作者 Yanhao Sun Tao Zhang +2 位作者 Shuxin Ding Zhiming Yuan Shengliang Yang 《Railway Sciences》 2024年第3期388-410,共23页
Purpose-In order to solve the problem of inaccurate calculation of index weights,subjectivity and uncertainty of index assessment in the risk assessment process,this study aims to propose a scientific and reasonable c... Purpose-In order to solve the problem of inaccurate calculation of index weights,subjectivity and uncertainty of index assessment in the risk assessment process,this study aims to propose a scientific and reasonable centralized traffic control(CTC)system risk assessment method.Design/methodologylapproach-First,system-theoretic process analysis(STPA)is used to conduct risk analysis on the CTC system and constructs risk assessment indexes based on this analysis.Then,to enhance the accuracy of weight calculation,the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process(FAHP),fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(FDEMATEL)and entropy weight method are employed to calculate the subjective weight,relative weight and objective weight of each index.These three types of weights are combined using game theory to obtain the combined weight for each index.To reduce subjectivity and uncertainty in the assessment process,the backward cloud generator method is utilized to obtain the numerical character(NC)of the cloud model for each index.The NCs of the indexes are then weighted to derive the comprehensive cloud for risk assessment of the CTC system.This cloud model is used to obtain the CTC system's comprehensive risk assessment.The model's similarity measurement method gauges the likeness between the comprehensive risk assessment cloud and the risk standard cloud.Finally,this process yields the risk assessment results for the CTC system.Findings-The cloud model can handle the subjectivity and fuzziness in the risk assessment process well.The cloud model-based risk assessment method was applied to the CTC system risk assessment of a railway group and achieved good results.Originality/value-This study provides a cloud model-based method for risk assessment of CTC systems,which accurately calculates the weight of risk indexes and uses cloud models to reduce uncertainty and subjectivity in the assessment,achieving effective risk assessment of CTC systems.It can provide a reference and theoretical basis for risk management of the CTC 展开更多
关键词 High-speed railway Centralized traffic control Risk assessment Game theory Cloud model Paper type Research paper
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Key technologies and applications of intelligent dispatching command for high-speed railway in China 被引量:1
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作者 Shuxin Ding Tao Zhang +2 位作者 Kai Sheng Yuanyuan Chen Zhiming Yuan 《Railway Sciences》 2023年第3期336-346,共11页
Purpose–The intelligent Central Traffic Control(CTC)system plays a vital role in establishing an intelligent high-speed railway(HSR)system.As the core of HSR transportation command,the intelligent CTC system is a new... Purpose–The intelligent Central Traffic Control(CTC)system plays a vital role in establishing an intelligent high-speed railway(HSR)system.As the core of HSR transportation command,the intelligent CTC system is a new HSR dispatching command system that integrates the widely used CTC in China with the practical service requirements of intelligent dispatching.This paper aims to propose key technologies and applications for intelligent dispatching command in HSR in China.Design/methodology/approach–This paper first briefly introduces the functions and configuration of the intelligent CTC system.Some new servers,terminals and interfaces are introduced,which are plan adjustment server/terminal,interface for automatic train operation(ATO),interface for Dynamic Monitoring System of Train Control Equipment(DMS),interface for Power Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition(PSCADA),interface for Disaster Monitoring,etc.Findings–The key technologies applied in the intelligent CTC system include automatic adjustment of train operation plans,safety control of train routes and commands,traffic information data platform,integrated simulation of traffic dispatching and ATO function.These technologies have been applied in the Beijing-Zhangjiakou HSR,which commenced operations at the end of 2019.Implementing these key intelligent functions has improved the train dispatching command capacity,ensured the safe operation of intelligent HSR,reduced the labor intensity of dispatching operators and enhanced the intelligence level of China’s dispatching system.Originality/value–This paper provides further challenges and research directions for the intelligent dispatching command of HSR.To achieve the objectives,new measures need to be conducted,including the development of advanced technologies for intelligent dispatching command,coping with new requirements with the development of China’s railway signaling system,the integration of traffic dispatching and train control and the application of AI and data-driven modeling and met 展开更多
关键词 High-speed railway Intelligent dispatching command Intelligent centralized traffic control Key technologies and application
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Opening Angle Rules of the Aerodynamic Brake Panel 被引量:6
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作者 高立强 奚鹰 +2 位作者 王国华 张攀 左建勇 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2016年第1期20-24,共5页
In order to get the relationship between aerodynamic brake effect and the opening angle,based on a high-speed train model in CFD software FLUENT,the aerodynamic force properties from brake panels with different openin... In order to get the relationship between aerodynamic brake effect and the opening angle,based on a high-speed train model in CFD software FLUENT,the aerodynamic force properties from brake panels with different opening angles were analyzed as well as the flow field's variation laws. Six cases were researched,taking opening angles 45°,60°,75°,80°,85° and 90° respectively.Three-dimensional Reynolds-average Navier-Stokes equation combined with k-ε turbulence model was utilized. The control equation was discretized and solved by finite volume method.SIMPLE method was also considered to couple the pressure and velocity fields and search the numeric solutions. Conclusions can be achieved from the results which are shown as follows. When the opening angle increases from 45° to 75°,the aerodynamic forces and the central area with larger pressure increase fast,and the flow field distribution changes greatly; when the opening angle increases from75° to 90°,the aerodynamic forces and the central area with larger pressure increase slowly, and the flow field distribution changes slightly; considering train boundary and opening performance of the wind resistance brake mechanism,the opening angle should be 75°. 展开更多
关键词 BRAKE PANEL RULE of OPENING angle aerodynamic BRAKE high-speed TRAIN
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Stability analysis of intermittently jointed rock slopes based on the stepped failure mode
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作者 LI Dejian FU Junwen +4 位作者 LI Hekai CHENG Xiao ZHAO Lianheng ZHANG Yingbin PENG Xinyan 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期1019-1035,共17页
In practical engineering,due to the noncontinuity characteristics of joints in rock slopes,in addition to plane failure,stepped sliding failure may occur for intermittently jointed rock slopes.Especially for intermitt... In practical engineering,due to the noncontinuity characteristics of joints in rock slopes,in addition to plane failure,stepped sliding failure may occur for intermittently jointed rock slopes.Especially for intermittently bedding jointed rock slopes,the correlation and difference in strength parameters between joints and rock bridges,along with the various failure modes and intermittency of rock bridges,contribute to the complexity of stepped failure modes and the unpredictability of failure regions.Based on the upper-bound limit analysis method and multi-sliders step-path failure mode,considering the shear and tensile failure of rock bridges and the weakened relationship between the strength parameters of rock bridges and jointed surfaces,by introducing the modified M-C failure criterion and the formula for calculating the energy consumption of tensile failure of rock bridges,two failure mechanisms are constructed to obtain the safety factor(F_(s))of intermittently jointed rock slopes.The sequential quadratic programming method is used to obtain the optimal upper-bound solution for F_(s).The influence of multiple key parameters(slope height H,horizontal distance L,Slope angleβ,shear strength parameters of the rock bridgeφr and cr,Dimensionless parameter u,weakening coefficients of the internal friction angle and cohesion between the rock bridges and joint surfaces Kφand Kc)on the stability analysis of intermittently jointed rock slopes under the shear failure mode of rock bridges as well as under the tensile failure mode is also explored.The reliability of the failure mechanisms is verified by comparative analysis with theoretical results,numerical results,and landslide cases,and the variation rules of F_(s)with each key parameter are obtained.The results show that F_(s) varies linearly withφr and cr of the rock bridge and with K_(φ)and K_(c),whereas F_(s)changes nonlinearly with H and L.In particular,with the increase in Kφand Kc,Fs increases by approximately 52.78%and 171.02%on average,respectively.For 展开更多
关键词 Jointed rock slopes Stepped sliding failure Weakening characteristics Modified M‒C failure criterion
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A train timetable rescheduling approach based on multi-train tracking optimization of high-speed railways
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作者 Rongsheng Wang Tao Zhang +2 位作者 Zhiming Yuan Shuxin Ding Qi Zhang 《Railway Sciences》 2023年第3期358-370,共13页
Purpose–This paper aims to propose a train timetable rescheduling(TTR)approach from the perspective of multi-train tracking optimization based on the mutual spatiotemporal information in the high-speed railway signal... Purpose–This paper aims to propose a train timetable rescheduling(TTR)approach from the perspective of multi-train tracking optimization based on the mutual spatiotemporal information in the high-speed railway signaling system.Design/methodology/approach–Firstly,a single-train trajectory optimization(STTO)model is constructed based on train dynamics and operating conditions.The train kinematics parameters,including acceleration,speed and time at each position,are calculated to predict the arrival times in the train timetable.A STTO algorithm is developed to optimize a single-train time-efficient driving strategy.Then,a TTR approach based on multi-train tracking optimization(TTR-MTTO)is proposed with mutual information.The constraints of temporary speed restriction(TSR)and end of authority are decoupled to calculate the tracking trajectory of the backward tracking train.The multi-train trajectories at each position are optimized to generate a timeefficient train timetable.Findings–The numerical experiment is performed on the Beijing-Tianjin high-speed railway line and CR400AF.The STTO algorithm predicts the train’s planned arrival time to calculate the total train delay(TTD).As for the TSR scenario,the proposed TTR-MTTO can reduce TTD by 60.60%compared with the traditional TTR approach with dispatchers’experience.Moreover,TTR-MTTO can optimize a time-efficient train timetable to help dispatchers reschedule trains more reasonably.Originality/value–With the cooperative relationship and mutual information between train rescheduling and control,the proposed TTR-MTTO approach can automatically generate a time-efficient train timetable to reduce the total train delay and the work intensity of dispatchers. 展开更多
关键词 High-speed railway Train timetable rescheduling Multi-train trajectory optimization Train operation control Integration of train rescheduling and control
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Sensor Configuration and Test for Fault Diagnoses of Subway Braking System Based on Signed Digraph Method 被引量:4
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作者 ZUO Jianyong CHEN Zhongkai 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第3期475-482,共8页
Fault diagnosis of various systems on rolling stock has drawn the attention of many researchers. However, obtaining an optimized sensor set of these systems, which is a prerequisite for fault diagnosis, remains a majo... Fault diagnosis of various systems on rolling stock has drawn the attention of many researchers. However, obtaining an optimized sensor set of these systems, which is a prerequisite for fault diagnosis, remains a major challenge. Available literature suggests that the configuration of sensors in these systems is presently dependent on the knowledge and engineering experiences of designers, which may lead to insufficient or redundant development of various sensors. In this paper, the optimization of sensor sets is addressed by using the signed digraph (SDG) method. The method is modified for use in braking systems by the introduction of an effect-function method to replace the traditional quantitative methods. Two criteria are adopted to evaluate the capability of the sensor sets, namely, observability and resolution. The sensors configuration method of braking system is proposed. It consists of generating bipartite graphs from SDG models and then solving the set cover problem using a greedy algorithm. To demonstrate the improvement, the sensor configuration of the HP2008 braking system is investigated and fault diagnosis on a test bench is performed. The test results show that SDG algorithm can improve single-fault resolution from 6 faults to 10 faults, and with additional four brake cylinder pressure (BCP) sensors it can cover up to 67 double faults which were not considered by traditional fault diagnosis system. SDG methods are suitable for reducing redundant sensors and that the sensor sets thereby obtained are capable of detecting typical faults, such as the failure of a release valve. This study investigates the formal extension of the SDG method to the sensor configuration of braking system, as well as the adaptation supported by the effect-function method. 展开更多
关键词 fault diagnosis subway braking system signed directed graph sensor set optimization.
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Rail temperature rise characteristics caused by linear eddy current brake of high-speed train 被引量:3
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作者 Xiaoshan Lu Yunfeng Li +2 位作者 Mengling Wu Jianyong Zuo Wei Hu 《Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering(English Edition)》 2014年第6期448-456,共9页
The rail temperature rises when the linear eddy current brake of high-speed train is working, which may lead to a change of rail physical characteristics or an effect on train operations. Therefore, a study concerning... The rail temperature rises when the linear eddy current brake of high-speed train is working, which may lead to a change of rail physical characteristics or an effect on train operations. Therefore, a study concerning the characteristics of rail temperature rise caused by eddy current has its practical necessity. In the research, the working principle of a linear eddy current brake is introduced and its FEA model is established. According to the generation mechanism of eddy current, the theoretical formula of the internal energy which is produced by the eddy current is deduced and the thermal load on the rail is obtained. ANSYS is used to simulate the rail temperature changes under different conditions of thermal loads. The research result shows the main factors which contribute to the rising of rail temperature are the train speed, brake gap and exciting current. The rail temperature rises non-linearly with the in- crease of train speed. The rail temperature rise curve is more sensitive to the exciting current than the air gap. Moreover, the difference stimulated by temperature rising between rails of 60 kg/m and 75 kg/m is presented as well. 展开更多
关键词 high-speed train linear eddy current brake thermal load rail temperature rise
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Influence of aerodynamic braking on the pressure wave of a crossing high-speed train 被引量:2
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作者 Meng-ling WU Yang-yong ZHU Chun TIAN Wei-wei FEI 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第12期979-984,共6页
When aerodynamic braking works,the braking wings can change the flow field around the train,which may impact on the comfort and safety.Based on a sliding mesh,the pressure wave and flow field around high-speed trains ... When aerodynamic braking works,the braking wings can change the flow field around the train,which may impact on the comfort and safety.Based on a sliding mesh,the pressure wave and flow field around high-speed trains with aerodynamic braking are analyzed.By comparing three typical intersection situations,the pressure wave of a high-speed train during braking (with or without aerodynamic braking) is studied.The analyses indicate that the pressure wave around the high-speed train body will change while using the aerodynamic braking,causing several pressure pulses on the surface of crossing high-speed trains.The distances between the pressure pulses are equal to the longitudinal distances of the brake wings,but the magnitudes of the fluctuations are less than those induced by the head of crossing trains.During the crossing,a train without aerodynamic braking will not impact the crossing train. 展开更多
关键词 Aerodynamic braking High-speed train Crossing air pressure
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Implementations of newly developed wheel and rail profile design methods 被引量:1
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作者 Gang Shen Xiaobo Zhong 《Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering(English Edition)》 2014年第3期221-227,共7页
The developments of a series of wheel or CADF contact functions are briefly described. profile computer aided methods based on the RRDF Since 2001 the implementations of these methods are carded out according to diffe... The developments of a series of wheel or CADF contact functions are briefly described. profile computer aided methods based on the RRDF Since 2001 the implementations of these methods are carded out according to different requirements for tramway vehicles, metro vehicles, and main line EMU vehicles etc. It is found that the main advantage of these new methods in wheel profile design is obtaining the proper wheel profiles to efficiently reduce the wears of wheel and rail and to improve the performances of both stability and curving performances. Moreover, post process of transfering a profile with discrete points to a profile with arc and line combinations is studied with a high precision. 展开更多
关键词 wheel profile design method RRDF CADF
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Position Control Optimization of Aerodynamic Brake Device for High-speed Trains 被引量:1
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作者 ZUO Jianyong LUO Zhuojun CHEN Zhongkai 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第2期287-295,共9页
The aerodynamic braking is a clean and non-adhesion braking, and can be used to provide extra braking force during high-speed emergency braking. The research of aerodynamic braking has attracted more and more attentio... The aerodynamic braking is a clean and non-adhesion braking, and can be used to provide extra braking force during high-speed emergency braking. The research of aerodynamic braking has attracted more and more attentions in recent years. However, most researchers in this field focus on aerodynamic effects and seldom on issues of position control of the aerodynamic braking board. The purpose of this paper is to explore position control optimization of the braking board in an aerodynamic braking prototype. The mathematical models of the hydraulic drive unit in the aerodynamic braking system are analyzed in detail, and the simulation models are established. Three control functions--constant, linear, and quadratic--are explored. Two kinds of criteria, including the position steady-state error and the acceleration of the piston rod, are used to evaluate system performance. Simulation results show that the position steady state-error is reduced from around 12-2 mm by applying a linear instead of a constant function, while the acceleration is reduced from 25,71-3.70 m/s2 with a quadratic control function. Use of the quadratic control function is shown to improve system performance. Experimental results obtained by measuring the position response of the piston rod on a test-bench also suggest a reduced position error and smooth movement of the piston rod. This implies that the acceleration is smaller when using the quadratic function, thus verifying the effectiveness of control schemes to improve to system performance. This paper proposes an effective and easily implemented control scheme that improves the position response of hydraulic cylinders during position control. 展开更多
关键词 high-speed train aerodynamic brake HYDRAULIC position control optimization.
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Control strategy of maglev vehicles based on particle swarm algorithm 被引量:1
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作者 Hui Wang Gang Shen Jinsong Zhou 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2014年第1期30-36,共7页
Taking a single magnet levitation system as theobject, a nonlinear numerical model of the vehicle–guidewaycoupling system was established to study the levitationcontrol strategies. According to the similarity in dyna... Taking a single magnet levitation system as theobject, a nonlinear numerical model of the vehicle–guidewaycoupling system was established to study the levitationcontrol strategies. According to the similarity in dynamics,the single magnet-guideway coupling system was simplifiedinto a magnet-suspended track system, and the correspondinghardware-in-loop test rig was set up usingdSPACE. A full-state-feedback controller was developedusing the levitation gap signal and the current signal, andcontroller parameters were optimized by particle swarmalgorithm. The results from the simulation and the test rigshow that, the proposed control method can keep the systemstable by calculating the controller output with the fullstateinformation of the coupling system, Step responsesfrom the test rig show that the controller can stabilize thesystem within 0.15 s with a 2 % overshot, and performswell even in the condition of violent external disturbances.Unlike the linear quadratic optimal method, the particleswarm algorithm carries out the optimization with thenonlinear controlled object included, and its optimizedresults make the system responses much better. 展开更多
关键词 Maglev control Vehicle–guideway couplingvibration Particle swarm algorithm Full-state feedback
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Improved Methods for In-situ Measurement Railway Noise Barrier Insertion Loss
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作者 Li Qiutong Duhamel Denis +1 位作者 Luo Yanyun Yin Honoré 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2018年第1期58-68,共11页
Many countries which seek to understand the acoustic performance of railway noise barriers have established standards for the conduct of in-situ experiments.However,there are no universally acknowledged receiver posit... Many countries which seek to understand the acoustic performance of railway noise barriers have established standards for the conduct of in-situ experiments.However,there are no universally acknowledged receiver positions for the evaluation of the barrier performance,a fact which may be leading to uncertainty over the noise reduction capabilities of available barriers.In terms of the descriptor of the barrier performance,the general recommendation is the A-weighted sound pressure level,although the latter is considered to underestimate low frequencies for railway noise barrier.Thus,in this study,the comparison of receiver positions and the descriptors among existing Chinese,ISO and European standards were investigated.Based upon a combination of diffraction theory and standards,a rearrangement of receiver positions and one-third-octave-band analysis were proposed.In addition,in line with improved methods,an in-situ measurement of insertion loss for a 1.5 mhigh railway noise barrier was designed and conducted.The results of the experiment validate as effective and applicable the new receiver positions.These results also suggest that one-third-octave-band analysis is indispensable. 展开更多
关键词 RAILWAY noise noise BARRIER in-situ experiment A-weighting INSERTION loss one-third-octave-band analysis grid receiver POSITIONS
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