当前国内外开展了很多农业温室气体对气候变化的响应研究,但气候变化对农业温室排放的影响机制研究还很少见.本文利用国际上广泛应用的生物地球化学过程模型——DNDC模型,模拟了中国过去40年(1971—2010年)气候变化对水稻田温室气体排...当前国内外开展了很多农业温室气体对气候变化的响应研究,但气候变化对农业温室排放的影响机制研究还很少见.本文利用国际上广泛应用的生物地球化学过程模型——DNDC模型,模拟了中国过去40年(1971—2010年)气候变化对水稻田温室气体排放的影响.结果表明:与1971—1990年相比,1991—2010年的全国稻季平均气温上升了0.49℃,稻季平均降雨上升了11 mm;由于稻季气候变化导致全国水稻田1991—2010年的平均CH4排放量上升了0.25 kg C·hm-2,平均N2O排放量上升了0.25 kg N·hm-2.表明温度升高会促进CH4排放,降雨量增加会促进N2O排放,气候变化影响了水稻温室气体排放机制.展开更多
Afforestation projects were applied in the Poyang Lake Basin of China at the beginning of 1980s. The large-scale plantation may dramatically influence the changes in carbon storage of forests in this basin. Therefore,...Afforestation projects were applied in the Poyang Lake Basin of China at the beginning of 1980s. The large-scale plantation may dramatically influence the changes in carbon storage of forests in this basin. Therefore, climate-induced variations in the carbon balance of the Poyang Lake Basin＇s forests may play an important role in the carbon cycle of China. However, we have little understanding of their long-term behavior, especially the future trend of carbon sink/source patterns under climate change and rising atmospheric CQ. The annual carbon budget of the Poyang Lake Basin＇s forests during 1981-2050 was estimated by using the Integrated Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon-budget model （InTEC） coupled with projected climate change simulated by Regional Integrated Environmental Model System （RIEMS 2.0）. During 1981-2000, the rapid increment of annual NPP in this basin was possible due to large plantation. Soil organic carbon storage （0-30cm） of forests generally decreased by 1.0% per year at the beginning of plantation. Moreover, forests in this basin converted from carbon source in 1980s to carbon sink in 1990s. By 2040-2050, total carbon stocks of forest ecosystems will increase by 0.78Pg C, compared to recent years （2001-2010）. Under future climate and CQ concentration in AIB scenario, NEP of forests in Poyang Lake Basin lean to keep relative stable （20-30Tg C y-i） because of old forests except for some years induced by extreme droughts. Our results also showed that prediction of NEP of forests in Poyang Lake Basin was controlled by water limitation; in contrast, temperature was the main factor on inter- annual variability of NPP.展开更多
文摘当前国内外开展了很多农业温室气体对气候变化的响应研究,但气候变化对农业温室排放的影响机制研究还很少见.本文利用国际上广泛应用的生物地球化学过程模型——DNDC模型,模拟了中国过去40年(1971—2010年)气候变化对水稻田温室气体排放的影响.结果表明:与1971—1990年相比,1991—2010年的全国稻季平均气温上升了0.49℃,稻季平均降雨上升了11 mm;由于稻季气候变化导致全国水稻田1991—2010年的平均CH4排放量上升了0.25 kg C·hm-2,平均N2O排放量上升了0.25 kg N·hm-2.表明温度升高会促进CH4排放,降雨量增加会促进N2O排放,气候变化影响了水稻温室气体排放机制.
基金the State Key Basic Research Development Project (Grant No.2010CB833503)the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.KZCX2-YW-QN301)
文摘Afforestation projects were applied in the Poyang Lake Basin of China at the beginning of 1980s. The large-scale plantation may dramatically influence the changes in carbon storage of forests in this basin. Therefore, climate-induced variations in the carbon balance of the Poyang Lake Basin＇s forests may play an important role in the carbon cycle of China. However, we have little understanding of their long-term behavior, especially the future trend of carbon sink/source patterns under climate change and rising atmospheric CQ. The annual carbon budget of the Poyang Lake Basin＇s forests during 1981-2050 was estimated by using the Integrated Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon-budget model （InTEC） coupled with projected climate change simulated by Regional Integrated Environmental Model System （RIEMS 2.0）. During 1981-2000, the rapid increment of annual NPP in this basin was possible due to large plantation. Soil organic carbon storage （0-30cm） of forests generally decreased by 1.0% per year at the beginning of plantation. Moreover, forests in this basin converted from carbon source in 1980s to carbon sink in 1990s. By 2040-2050, total carbon stocks of forest ecosystems will increase by 0.78Pg C, compared to recent years （2001-2010）. Under future climate and CQ concentration in AIB scenario, NEP of forests in Poyang Lake Basin lean to keep relative stable （20-30Tg C y-i） because of old forests except for some years induced by extreme droughts. Our results also showed that prediction of NEP of forests in Poyang Lake Basin was controlled by water limitation; in contrast, temperature was the main factor on inter- annual variability of NPP.
