在我国华北型石炭—二叠系煤田中,煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水现象尤为突出。为准确地评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性,防治煤矿水害事故,实现承压水体上煤层安全开采。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,选用含水层厚度、单位涌水量、充水含水层渗...在我国华北型石炭—二叠系煤田中,煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水现象尤为突出。为准确地评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性,防治煤矿水害事故,实现承压水体上煤层安全开采。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,选用含水层厚度、单位涌水量、充水含水层渗透性、水压、断层影响因子、含水层厚度、含水层岩性组合特征以及底板破坏深度8个指标评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性。采用有序二元比较量化法和区间数模糊决策矩阵EA-TOPSIS排序模型分别确定煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水主控因素权重。在此基础之上,基于冲突证据理论将二者进行耦合,得到煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水主控因素组合权重,保证了对动态模型指标相对重要性的有效评价。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,构建单指标直线型未知测度函数及非直线型未知测度函数,并以新汶煤田煤层开采为例,将30个监测点处实测的8个指标值代入,建立多指标综合测度矩阵。引入“置信度”评价准则判定样本数据 X i 所属的危险性等级。并通过集对分析,进一步表征新汶煤田煤层开采过程中煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水风险总体态势。研究表明,评价结果与矿山实际情况相吻合。在此基础之上,依据搜集的大量华北煤矿突水案例,以其中典型的15个为例,将建立的模型推广到整个华北煤田底板突水危险性的评价。通过与矿井实际突水情况对比可以发现,模型确定的矿井突水危险性等级与实际相吻合,表明该模型对于评价整个华北煤田底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性具有一定的适宜性。展开更多
Coal burst is a severe hazard that can result in fatalities and damage of facilities in underground coal mines.To address this issue,a robust unascertained combination model is proposed to study the coal burst hazard ...Coal burst is a severe hazard that can result in fatalities and damage of facilities in underground coal mines.To address this issue,a robust unascertained combination model is proposed to study the coal burst hazard based on an updated database.Four assessment indexes are used in the model,which are the dynamic failure duration(DT),elastic energy index(WET),impact energy index(KE)and uniaxial compressive strength(RC).Four membership functions,including linear(L),parabolic(P),S and Weibull(W)functions,are proposed to measure the uncertainty level of individual index.The corresponding weights are determined through information entropy(EN),analysis hierarchy process(AHP)and synthetic weights(CW).Simultaneously,the classification criteria,including unascertained cluster(UC)and credible identification principle(CIP),are analyzed.The combination algorithm,consisting of P function,CW and CIP(P-CW-CIP),is selected as the optimal classification model in function of theory analysis and to train the samples.Ultimately,the established ensemble model is further validated through test samples with 100%accuracy.The results reveal that the hybrid model has a great potential in the coal burst hazard evaluation in underground coal mines.展开更多
Phosphorus is an essential element in agricultural production and chemical industry. However, since the risk of casualties and economic loss by mining accidents, the application of clean and safe production in phospho...Phosphorus is an essential element in agricultural production and chemical industry. However, since the risk of casualties and economic loss by mining accidents, the application of clean and safe production in phosphorus mines encounters great challenges. For this purpose, a man-machine-environment system composed of evaluation indexes was established, and the grading standards of indexes were defined. Firstly, the measurements of 39 qualitative indexes were obtained through the survey data. According to the measured values of 31 quantitative indexes, the measurements of quantitative indexes were calculated by linear measurement function(LM) and other three functions. Then the singleindex measurement evaluation matrixes were established. Secondly, the entropy weight method was used to determine the weights of each index directly. The analytic hierarchy process(AHP) was also applied to calculate the weights of index and index factor hierarchies after the established hierarchical model. The weights of system hierarchies were given by the grid-based fuzzy Borda method(GFB). The comprehensive weights were determined by the combination method of AHP and GFB(CAG). Furthermore, the multi-index comprehensive measurement evaluation vectors were obtained.Thirdly, the vectors were evaluated by the credible degree recognition(CDR) and the maximum membership(TMM)criteria. Based on the above functions, methods, and criteria, 16 combination evaluation methods were recommended.Finally, the clean and safe production grade of Kaiyang phosphate mine in China was evaluated. The results show that the LM-CAG-CDR is the most reasonable method, which can not only determine the clean and safe production grade of phosphorus mines, but also improve the development level of clean and safe mining of phosphorus mines for guidance.In addition, some beneficial suggestions and measures were also proposed to advance the clean and safe production grade of Kaiyang phosphorus mine.展开更多
文摘在我国华北型石炭—二叠系煤田中,煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水现象尤为突出。为准确地评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性,防治煤矿水害事故,实现承压水体上煤层安全开采。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,选用含水层厚度、单位涌水量、充水含水层渗透性、水压、断层影响因子、含水层厚度、含水层岩性组合特征以及底板破坏深度8个指标评价煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性。采用有序二元比较量化法和区间数模糊决策矩阵EA-TOPSIS排序模型分别确定煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水主控因素权重。在此基础之上,基于冲突证据理论将二者进行耦合,得到煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水主控因素组合权重,保证了对动态模型指标相对重要性的有效评价。基于未知测度-集对分析理论,构建单指标直线型未知测度函数及非直线型未知测度函数,并以新汶煤田煤层开采为例,将30个监测点处实测的8个指标值代入,建立多指标综合测度矩阵。引入“置信度”评价准则判定样本数据 X i 所属的危险性等级。并通过集对分析,进一步表征新汶煤田煤层开采过程中煤层底板灰岩岩溶突水风险总体态势。研究表明,评价结果与矿山实际情况相吻合。在此基础之上,依据搜集的大量华北煤矿突水案例,以其中典型的15个为例,将建立的模型推广到整个华北煤田底板突水危险性的评价。通过与矿井实际突水情况对比可以发现,模型确定的矿井突水危险性等级与实际相吻合,表明该模型对于评价整个华北煤田底板灰岩岩溶突水危险性具有一定的适宜性。
基金funded by the National Science Foundation of China(Nos.72088101 and 41807259)the Innovation-Driven Project of Central South University(No.2020CX040)the Shenghua Lieying Program of Central South University(Principle Investigator:Dr.Jian Zhou)。
文摘Coal burst is a severe hazard that can result in fatalities and damage of facilities in underground coal mines.To address this issue,a robust unascertained combination model is proposed to study the coal burst hazard based on an updated database.Four assessment indexes are used in the model,which are the dynamic failure duration(DT),elastic energy index(WET),impact energy index(KE)and uniaxial compressive strength(RC).Four membership functions,including linear(L),parabolic(P),S and Weibull(W)functions,are proposed to measure the uncertainty level of individual index.The corresponding weights are determined through information entropy(EN),analysis hierarchy process(AHP)and synthetic weights(CW).Simultaneously,the classification criteria,including unascertained cluster(UC)and credible identification principle(CIP),are analyzed.The combination algorithm,consisting of P function,CW and CIP(P-CW-CIP),is selected as the optimal classification model in function of theory analysis and to train the samples.Ultimately,the established ensemble model is further validated through test samples with 100%accuracy.The results reveal that the hybrid model has a great potential in the coal burst hazard evaluation in underground coal mines.
基金Project(51974362) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2282020cxqd055) supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,ChinaProject(2021-QYC-10050-25631) supported by the Department of Emergency Management of Hunan Province,China。
文摘Phosphorus is an essential element in agricultural production and chemical industry. However, since the risk of casualties and economic loss by mining accidents, the application of clean and safe production in phosphorus mines encounters great challenges. For this purpose, a man-machine-environment system composed of evaluation indexes was established, and the grading standards of indexes were defined. Firstly, the measurements of 39 qualitative indexes were obtained through the survey data. According to the measured values of 31 quantitative indexes, the measurements of quantitative indexes were calculated by linear measurement function(LM) and other three functions. Then the singleindex measurement evaluation matrixes were established. Secondly, the entropy weight method was used to determine the weights of each index directly. The analytic hierarchy process(AHP) was also applied to calculate the weights of index and index factor hierarchies after the established hierarchical model. The weights of system hierarchies were given by the grid-based fuzzy Borda method(GFB). The comprehensive weights were determined by the combination method of AHP and GFB(CAG). Furthermore, the multi-index comprehensive measurement evaluation vectors were obtained.Thirdly, the vectors were evaluated by the credible degree recognition(CDR) and the maximum membership(TMM)criteria. Based on the above functions, methods, and criteria, 16 combination evaluation methods were recommended.Finally, the clean and safe production grade of Kaiyang phosphate mine in China was evaluated. The results show that the LM-CAG-CDR is the most reasonable method, which can not only determine the clean and safe production grade of phosphorus mines, but also improve the development level of clean and safe mining of phosphorus mines for guidance.In addition, some beneficial suggestions and measures were also proposed to advance the clean and safe production grade of Kaiyang phosphorus mine.
